Jaguars vs Titans prediction
Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans, NFL Week 10. Our model projects the game, the sportsbooks price it, and the two numbers sit side by side below. The priced plays — the safest side, the value bet, the win + kicker combo and the props — are on the members' board; the projection is public, and every pick is graded here after the game.
Jaguars 29, Titans 17
Jaguars by 12.0 · 46 total points
The model projects Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Tennessee Titans 29–17; the market agrees on the favorite and prices the spread at 10.5. On the total, the model's 46 sits above the market's 45.5. The raw model gives Jacksonville Jaguars a 86.1% chance to win; the moneyline price implies 83.8%. We never bet the raw model — the published probability on every play blends it with the market, and that blended number is what the board shows members.
A projection is an expected outcome, not a promise: the other side happens, and favorites lose. 21+ and only where sports betting is legal.
Where the line has gone
First posted on our board Tue Nov 10; "now" is our latest refresh. A line that moves toward a side generally means more money has come in on that side. Every book's price on this game →
What the box priced
Every play below carries the blended probability, the price it was published at and the edge over that price. For visitors the plays stay sealed; a free account opens the week's free pick, a membership opens all of it.
| Play | Bet | Price | Our probability | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Safest side | ████████ | sealed | sealed | sealed |
| Value bet | not on the board this week | |||
| Spread lean | ████████ | sealed | sealed | sealed |
| Total lean | ████████ | sealed | sealed | sealed |
| Win + kicker | ████████ | sealed | sealed | sealed |
| Kicker | ████████ | sealed | sealed | sealed |
| Kicker | ████████ | sealed | sealed | sealed |
Projected stat lines
| Player | Team | Pos | Projection |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Lawrence | JAX | QB | ████████████ |
| Bhayshul Tuten | JAX | RB | ████████████ |
| Parker Washington | JAX | WR | ████████████ |
| Jakobi Meyers | JAX | WR | ████████████ |
| Cam Ward | TEN | QB | ████████████ |
| Tony Pollard | TEN | RB | ████████████ |
| Wan'Dale Robinson | TEN | WR | ████████████ |
| Chimere Dike | TEN | WR | ████████████ |
This game is a leg in 11 tickets on the board this week: Win + kicker · safest ML + 2 FGs (2 legs, -132); Safe stack · 2 moneylines (2 legs, -241); Safe stack · 3 moneylines (3 legs, -141); Safe stack · 4 moneylines (4 legs, +133); Balanced build · 5 legs (5 legs, +242) and 6 more.
See plans — from $19/month monthly or annual; one plan opens every board
Injuries and news the board saw
| Team | Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|---|
| JAX | BJ Green II DE | Out | Forearm |
| JAX | Jessie Bates S | Out | Not injury related - resting player |
| JAX | Jordan Davis DT | Out | Not injury related - resting player |
| JAX | Robert Hainsey C | Questionable | Concussion |
| JAX | Antonio Johnson S | Practice only | Ankle |
| JAX | Bhayshul Tuten RB | Practice only | Ankle |
| JAX | Chris Rodriguez Jr. RB | Practice only | Hand |
| JAX | Jakobi Meyers WR | Practice only | Ankle |
| JAX | Travon Walker DE | Practice only | Rib |
| TEN | Anthony Hill Jr. LB | Out | Neck |
| TEN | Brandon Crenshaw-Dickson OT | Out | Coach's Decision |
| TEN | Carnell Tate WR | Out | Shoulder |
- Seven things Solak thinks: Jags to the Super Bowl? Plus, early All-Pro picks and more ESPN
- Titans' Rivalries combination, Ravens' all-black threads top NFL Week 10 uniforms ESPN
The board rebuilds every morning and again before kickoff, so injuries and line moves feed the numbers above; this page shows the board as last published (2026-11-15).
About this prediction
What is the model's projected score for Jaguars vs Titans?
Jacksonville Jaguars 29, Tennessee Titans 17 — Jacksonville Jaguars by 12.0 points and 46 total points. The market line when the board was built was Jacksonville Jaguars by 10.5 with a total of 45.5.
Who does the model favor to win Jaguars vs Titans?
Jacksonville Jaguars. The raw model gives them a 86.1% chance; the moneyline price of -625 implies 83.8%. The priced play on this game — the safest side, blended with the market — is on the members' board.
Is this pick guaranteed?
No. A probability is not a promise: the other side happens, and favorites pay short prices for exactly that reason. Black Box Bets is an information service, not a sportsbook; no pick, parlay or strategy is guaranteed to profit, and past results — including the 2018–2025 test — do not predict future ones. Bet only what you can afford to lose, 21+ and only where sports betting is legal.
Other games this week
- Buffalo Bills at New York Jets Sun Nov 15 · 1:00 PM ET
- Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints Sun Nov 15 · 1:00 PM ET
- Houston Texans at Cleveland Browns Sun Nov 15 · 1:00 PM ET
- Kansas City Chiefs at Atlanta Falcons Sun Nov 15 · 1:00 PM ET
- Los Angeles Rams at Arizona Cardinals Sun Nov 15 · 4:05 PM ET
- Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts Sun Nov 15 · 1:00 PM ET
- Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers Sun Nov 15 · 1:00 PM ET
- Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals Sun Nov 15 · 8:20 PM ET
- Seattle Seahawks at Las Vegas Raiders Sun Nov 15 · 4:05 PM ET
- San Francisco 49ers at Dallas Cowboys Sun Nov 15 · 4:25 PM ET
- Los Angeles Chargers at Baltimore Ravens Mon Nov 16 · 8:15 PM ET