The model is a secret. The record isn't.
Every Thursday, Sunday and Monday the engine posts one ticket: two or three legs priced at Hard Rock Bet, a floor price on every leg, and a grade against the closing line after the game. Win or lose, it stays on the record.
Cancel in one click. 21+ only, where sports betting is legal. Analysis, not guarantees.
Graded in public, win or lose
8 graded weeks so far — a small sample, which is why it stays up whichever way it goes. Every pick on every board is graded after the games on the ledger; members see each Edge Bet leg against the closing line on Edge. Long shots — the parlays and the lottery ticket — are listed there too, never blended into a win rate.
This week's free pick
No account needed to read it. It is the most likely winner on the NFL board still priced in your favour — a moneyline between -250 and +250 where our number beats the book's — chosen once, saved, and graded like everything else.
Our number is 64.8%; the price implies 60.3%. It is the most likely winner on the board that is still priced in your favour.
In Florida? Hard Rock Bet: -165 — 10¢ behind ESPN Bet's -155. Every book →
What members get
NFL first. Then every other card.
The free pick on each board is open to everyone; members see every game, play and parlay leg.
Pick how you pay
$19 a month or $149 a year for the Edge Bet and every board. Both renew until you cancel, in one click from your account; annual is paid up front, saves 35%, and is non-refundable.
The Black Box Edge Bet every NFL window, plus every pick, parlay and injury report on all four boards — about $4.40 a week. Cancel in one click from your account.
Choose MonthlyTwelve months of the Edge Bet and every board for one payment — $228 at the monthly rate, so you save 35% ($79). Renews yearly; cancel anytime to stop the next renewal. No refunds.
Choose AnnualStraight answers
What is the Black Box Edge Bet?
One ticket per NFL window — Thursday night, Sunday, Monday night — built by the engine from the kinds of bets that have paid as singles: a kicker on an offence that stalls, a moneyline no shorter than -200 with a real edge, a volume prop with the game script on its side, an interception prop on a quarterback who throws them. It is priced at Hard Rock Bet with a floor on every leg: below the floor the bet is off. After the game each leg is graded against the closing line, and the ticket's result goes on the record whether it won or lost.
What exactly is the free pick?
The most likely winner on the NFL board each week that is still priced in your favour: a moneyline between -250 and +250 where our probability beats the sportsbook's price after the book's cut. No -900 favourites. It is chosen once, saved before anyone sees it, and graded in public like every other pick. The college football, NHL and MLB boards each have one too.
Do you guarantee winners?
No, and nobody honest does. We publish probabilities and prices, then grade every pick in public. Favourites lose, parlays miss, and short prices carry the book's edge. Bet amounts you can afford to lose.
Can I cancel?
Any time, in one click from your account page. You keep access through the end of the period you paid for, and you won't be billed again. The annual plan is paid up front and non-refundable.